Notes
Slide Show
Outline
1
Advanced Renewable Tariffs
Can Power Manitoba
Renewable Energy Development
2
Renewable Tariffs
 The Philosophical Context
3
1. Do We Want Renewables?
  • Peak Oil, Peak Gas
      • Marginal Costs Higher Than Embedded Costs
  • Nuclear Problematic
    • Ontario, New Brunswick?
  • Coal, Kyoto, Climate Catastrophe
      • France & Italy, 2003; 25,000 Dead
  • Public Support High
      • Large Crowds of Farmers in Ontario
  • Desire for New Manufacturing Jobs
4
2. If Yes, Then What Works Best?
  • How To Get Contracts (PPAs)
      • Negotiated
      • Tendered
      • Standard Offers (Open)
  • Who Gets Contracts
      • Elite Few, or
      • All Who Want Them?
  • How To Pay For Them
      • RECs/ROCs/Green Tags
      • Capital or Production Subsidies
        • PTC or WPPI
      • Renewable Tariffs


5
3. If We Use a Market Model, Then
  • You Get What You Pay For
  • If You Want It You Must Pay For It
  • Difference  Between Cost & Price
      • The Margin Determines Rate of Growth
  • High or “Premium” Prices Deliver
      • More Generation
      • More Quickly
      • More Manufacturing . . . And Jobs
6
Why the European Success?
  • #1 Public Involvement
      • Germany & Denmark
  • #2 Advanced Renewable Tariffs
      • 16 EU Countries use Electricity Feed Laws

7
What Has Worked in Europe
  • What Works
    • Advanced Renewable Tariffs (ARTs)
    • Also Known as Standard Offer Contracts
  • Proof is in the Market
    • ARTs Markets = Many Players
    • Quota Markets = Few Players
    • RFP Markets = No Manufacturers


8
Advanced Renewable Tariffs
  • Creates Dynamic Markets
  • Ensures Price Stability
  • Encourages Manufacturing
  • Offers Opportunity to Many Players
      • Farmers (New Cash Crop)
      • Communities
      • Coops
      • Wind Companies

9
Advanced Renewable Tariffs
  • What Are They?
      • Political Price, Not Political Quota
      • Simple Contracts
  • How Do They Work?
      • Simple & Comprehensible
      • Little or No Administration
  • Where?


10
Renewable Tariffs or Standard Offer Contracts
11
Political Price-Political Amount Markets
12
Political Price (EEG)
Political Amount (RPS)
  • Fossil Fuel Plants
    • Fuel is Commodity Priced on World Market
  • Generation Costs Function of
    • Fuel Price
    • Efficiency of Operation

13
Political Price (EEG)
Political Amount (RPS)
  • Renewables Influenced by Installed Cost (80%)
    • Influenced by Yield (Resource)
    • Not Influenced by Operational Efficiency
      • Energy Automatons

14
German Market Example
15
German Market Example Markets Work Best When
  • Many Transactions
  • Transactions Transparent
  • Free Flow of Information
  • Many Suppliers
  • Many Buyers
16
German Market Example
  • Thousands of Transaction per Year
  • Many Magazines & Public Reports
      • Turbine Prices Public
      • Performance Public
  • 4 Major Suppliers, 4+ Minor Suppliers
  • Farmers, Co-ops, & Wind Cos
17
German Market Example:
Many Suppliers
  • Enercon (D)
  • Vestas (DK)
  • Bonus (DK)
  • NEG-Micon (DK)
  • GE Wind (D-US)


  • Nordex (DK)
  • DeWind (D)
  • Suzlon (India)
  • RePower (D)
  • Fuhrländer (D)
  • Gamesa (ES)
  • Mitsubishi (JP)
18
German Market Example:
Many Manufacturers
  • Enercon (D)
  • Vestas (DK)
  • Bonus (DK)
  • NEG-Micon (DK)
  • GE Wind (D-US)


  • Nordex (DK)
  • DeWind (D)
  • RePower (D)
  • Fuhrländer (D)
19
Renewable Tariffs & Solar Energy in Germany
20
Wind Energy Prices Paid in Europe
  • Highest Initial Prices Not Always from Renewable Tariffs
      • Britain, Italy
  • Spain’s Renewable Tariff Low Relative to Quota Markets
      • Britain, Italy
  • Sweden Can’t Decide
      • Combination: Pool Price, Premium, & Subsidy
21
Renewable Tariffs or
Standard Offer Contracts
  • Early Stages of Trend in North America
      • PEI (<1 MW, Draft)
      • Ontario (<10 MW Draft)
      • Minnesota C-BED (Introduced)
      • Washington State (Passed Senate)
      • Schwarzenegger’s California (Introduced)
  • Major Push from China’s Renewables Law
  • Desire for Manufacturing Jobs Critical
  • More Acknowledgement that ARTs (SOCs) Deliver



22
Renewable Tariffs or Standard Offer Contracts
 Should
  • Be Simple, Comprehensible, & Transparent
  • Allow Simplified Interconnection
  • Have Prices Sufficient to Drive Development
  • Have Lengths Sufficient for Profitability
  • Have Prices Differentiated by Technology
  • Have Prices Differentiated by Resource (for Wind)
23
 
24
Advanced Renewable Tariffs
Endorsements
  • Ontario Liberal Party
  • National Farmers Union
      • Ontario
      • Canada
  • Great Lakes United (NGO)


25
Standard Offer Contract
Pilot Program (Draft)
  • 5 Year Pilot Program (no MW cap, Time Limit Cap)
  • Wind, Solar PV, Biomass, & Small Hydro
  • Project Limit: ~10 MW (<44 kV), “Last Turbine In”
  • 20-Year Contracts with Provision for Extension
  • Inclusive: Open to All
  • Contracts Must be Executed within 2 Years
  • Review after 2 Years, Full Review after 5 Years
26
German Wind Tariffs
Reference Yield Method
27

Ontario Pilot Program (Draft)
  • OSEA’s Extensive Literature Library
      • Acknowledged by Academics & Researchers
  • OSEA Consulted with Stakeholders
  • OSEA Sponsored Price-Setting Workshop
      • ADEME’s Bernard Chabot (France)
        • Profitabiltiy Index Method
      • Wind, Biomass, Hydro, & Solar PV
28
French Wind Tariffs
Profitability Index Method
29
Justification for Premium Prices
  • European Court Ruling
      •  Under Market “Liberalization” Rules
  • Offsets External Costs
      • SOx & NOx
      • CO2 & Climate Change Very Expensive
  • Country Specific Justification
      • Dutch MEP, Spain’s Bonus, Germany’s EEG
30
Climate Change External Costs Avoided
31
Renewables Work!
  • www.ontario-sea.org